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Live Draft Analysis

EDWARD GAMING vs Xi'an Team WE: LPL Seraphine Shock

By Draftlol Analysis Desk

EDWARD GAMING face Xi'an Team WE in LPL Game 2 as WEErha's rare Seraphine tests Nautilus, while matchup data heavily favors WE's red-side draft.

EDWARD GAMINGEdward Gaming
Live Draft Analysis
47%·53%
PICKS
Xi'an Team WeXi'an Team WE
EDGZdz
EDGZdz
147G43.5%VS GLBOrnn
1159G52.3%GLOBAL
11G27.3%VS LPLOrnn
158G57.0%LPL
Rumble
Rumble
topTOP
Ornn
Ornn
WECube
WECube
GLOBAL49.6%276G
RumbleVS GLB56.5%147G
LPL61.9%21G
RumbleVS LPL72.7%11G
EDGJiejie
EDGJiejie
21G38.1%VS GLBTrundle
208G52.9%GLOBAL
14G42.9%VS LPLTrundle
46G50.0%LPL
Qiyana
Qiyana
jungleJGL
Trundle
Trundle
WEMonki
WEMonki
GLOBAL52.1%315G
QiyanaVS GLB61.9%21G
LPL51.4%72G
QiyanaVS LPL57.1%14G
EDGBuLLDoG
EDGBuLLDoG
55G47.3%VS GLBRyze
244G51.2%GLOBAL
9G33.3%VS LPLRyze
31G61.3%LPL
Yone
Yone
midMID
Ryze
Ryze
WEKaris
WEKaris
GLOBAL51.3%1305G
YoneVS GLB52.7%55G
LPL54.0%174G
YoneVS LPL66.7%9G
EDGLeave
EDGLeave
28G42.9%VS GLBEzreal
266G48.1%GLOBAL
9G55.6%VS LPLEzreal
63G50.8%LPL
Miss Fortune
Miss Fortune
bottomBOT
Ezreal
Ezreal
WEAbout
WEAbout
GLOBAL49.7%1329G
Miss FortuneVS GLB57.1%28G
LPL55.0%129G
Miss FortuneVS LPL44.4%9G
EDGParukia
EDGParukia
79G40.5%VS GLBSeraphine
1019G46.3%GLOBAL
9G22.2%VS LPLSeraphine
112G44.6%LPL
Nautilus
Nautilus
supportSUP
Seraphine
Seraphine
WEErha
WEErha
GLOBAL54.6%720G
NautilusVS GLB59.5%79G
LPL58.8%119G
NautilusVS LPL77.8%9G
WEERHA100.0%1G
6.3 KDA
Edward Gaming 47%53% Xi'an Team We
Polymarketmarket probability · EDWARD GAMING · Xi'an Team WE
Game 2
36%·65%
Series *now · same market as the Game
23%·77%
Pre-matchseries · 90 min before
21%·80%
Δ Series: +2.5pp for EDWARD GAMINGFull model: 33% / 67%

TL;DR: In LPL Game 2, EDWARD GAMING’s Nautilus meets Xi'an Team WE’s surprise Seraphine: WEErha has a 60% record versus Nautilus across 79G but only 1G on Seraphine in LPL. The model calls Xi'an Team WE 67% to EDWARD GAMING 33%, making the untested comfort pivot the draft’s central pressure point.

Compositions: EDWARD GAMING vs Xi'an Team WE

EDWARD GAMING drafted a volatile skirmish composition around EDGZdz’s Rumble, EDGJiejie’s Qiyana, and EDGBuLLDoG’s Yone. EDGLeave’s Miss Fortune and EDGParukia’s Nautilus give them hard engage and devastating follow-up, but this lineup needs early river control, clean ganks, and a snowball before Xi'an Team WE’s scaling core settles.

Xi'an Team WE answer with WECube’s Ornn, WEMonki’s Trundle, WEKaris’s Ryze, WEAbout’s Ezreal, and WEErha’s Seraphine. It is a resilient teamfight and poke composition with Ornn engage, Ryze roam threat, Trundle’s anti-dive tools, and Seraphine’s layered crowd control. WEErha’s Seraphine is deliberate rather than standard: the lane must deny Nautilus angles, then survive long enough for WE’s scaling and coordinated engage to take over.

Key Picks and Stats

Top lane is sharply red-sided in the available matchup history. EDGZdz’s Rumble carries a 52.3% global WR over 1159G and a 57.0% LPL WR over 158G, but Rumble falls to a 43.5% global WR over 147G against Ornn and 27.3% in LPL over 11G. WECube’s Ornn posts a 49.6% global WR over 276G, 61.9% in LPL over 21G, and a 72.7% LPL WR over 11G versus Rumble.

The jungle-mid pairing is equally concerning for EDWARD GAMING. EDGJiejie’s Qiyana has a 52.9% global WR over 208G and 50.0% in LPL over 46G, yet only 42.9% in LPL over 14G versus WEMonki’s Trundle. EDGBuLLDoG’s Yone owns a strong 61.3% LPL WR over 31G, but his Yone-versus-Ryze record is 33.3% over 9G; WEKaris’s Ryze answers at 66.7% over 9G.

Bot lane is the draft’s swing point. EDGLeave’s Miss Fortune has a 50.8% LPL WR over 63G and a 55.6% LPL WR over 9G against Ezreal. Still, EDGParukia’s Nautilus has only a 44.6% LPL WR over 112G and a 22.2% LPL WR over 9G versus Seraphine. WEErha’s Seraphine has a 58.8% LPL WR over 119G, a 77.8% LPL WR over 9G against Nautilus, and a 100.0% WR over 1G on Seraphine in LPL with a 6.2 KDA.

Draft Edge

Xi'an Team WE own the cleaner draft edge. Trundle can disrupt Qiyana’s engage, Ornn gives WE a dependable front line, and Ryze plus Seraphine can punish EDWARD GAMING whenever Nautilus commits without immediate Rumble or Miss Fortune coverage.

EDWARD GAMING’s win condition is explosive: Qiyana must create fog-of-war picks, Yone must access WEAbout’s Ezreal, and Miss Fortune must convert Nautilus ultimates into objective fights. Rumble+Qiyana carries a 60.19% WR across 7.4649395407363315G, but that small sample cannot erase four unfavorable lane matchups.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket makes Xi'an Team WE a 64% favorite for Game 2 against EDWARD GAMING at 36%. The Series market now has EDWARD GAMING at 55% and Xi'an Team WE at 46%, a dramatic reversal from the pre-match Series market of 20% for EDWARD GAMING and 80% for Xi'an Team WE: EDWARD GAMING has moved by +25.0 percentage points.

The Game market is much more optimistic for Xi'an Team WE than the current Series market, while EDWARD GAMING’s 36% Game price sits well below its 55% Series price. Game 1 is recorded as an EDWARD GAMING win despite a 4-23 kill score at 31:10, which likely explains the Series shift; this red-side draft explains why traders still favor WE on this specific map.

Prediction

The model projection is Xi'an Team WE 67% and EDWARD GAMING 33%. I would move it slightly to Xi'an Team WE 66%, EDWARD GAMING 34%: the market is marginally kinder to EDG, but WE’s 0.742 Elo signal, 0.400 team-form signal, and lane-by-lane matchup profile remain decisive.

EDWARD GAMING’s Game 1 result can improve confidence and mental resilience, yet their 0.100 team-form signal is a warning. If Qiyana’s early tempo fails, WE’s scaling composition should become increasingly difficult to break.

FAQ

Q: Can EDGParukia’s Nautilus punish WEErha’s Seraphine before Xi'an Team WE scale?

A: He can if EDGJiejie’s Qiyana creates early numbers advantages, but Nautilus has only a 22.2% LPL WR over 9G against Seraphine while WEErha holds a 77.8% mark in that matchup.

Q: Is EDGBuLLDoG’s Yone enough to overturn WEKaris’s Ryze lane?

A: BuLLDoG’s 61.3% LPL WR over 31G on Yone is real upside, but Yone has only a 33.3% LPL WR over 9G versus Ryze, compared with Ryze’s 66.7%.

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*