DN SOOPers vs Nongshim — LCK Cho'Gath Jungle Test

TL;DR: In LCK Challengers Game 2, DN SOOPers Challengers are projected at 60% against Nongshim Esports Academy’s 40%, with the clearest citable draft fact being Enosh’s Ezreal holding a 61.1% LCK Challengers WR over 18G. Nongshim’s 26-5 Game 1 win adds momentum, but DN’s lane matchups offer a reset route.

Compositions: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy

DN SOOPers Challengers drafted a flexible teamfight and poke composition. Lancer’s Rumble supplies early lane pressure and a decisive Equalizer for objective fights, while DDoiV’s Skarner provides engage and pick threat. Flip’s Tristana can pressure side lanes, snowball through turret plates, and scale into a late-game carry. Enosh’s Ezreal adds safe poke, with Quantum’s Nautilus responsible for starting fights.

Nongshim Esports Academy chose a more unconventional front-to-back structure. Janus on K'Sante and MihawK on Cho'Gath create a massive engage and peel line, while SeTab’s Ryze offers scaling, roam access, and Realm Warp angles. Lucy’s Lucian needs early lane control alongside Pleata’s Milio, whose shields and cleanse can blunt Nautilus engage. Red side wants a stable early game, then objective fights where Cho'Gath can secure targets and Ryze can reposition the team.

Key Picks and Stats

Top lane is closer than the generic champion records suggest. Rumble owns a 52.9% global WR over 1282G and 48.8% LCK Challengers WR over 86G, but Lancer has only a 40.0% LCK Challengers WR over 10G with a 2.4 KDA. Against K'Sante, Rumble is 52.6% globally over 399G but just 41.2% in LCK Challengers over 34G. Janus’s K'Sante has a 51.4% LCK Challengers WR over 107G, plus a 66.7% WR over 12G and 4.5 KDA personally.

MihawK’s Cho'Gath jungle is the surprise pick: it has a 42.1% global WR over 19G, a very small and weak sample that makes it a risky counter to Skarner. DDoiV’s Skarner is far more meta, carrying a 52.8% global WR over 422G, 63.5% LCK Challengers WR over 52G, and a 66.7% WR over 3G for DDoiV.

Mid and bot favor DN statistically. Flip’s Tristana has a 57.1% LCK Challengers WR over 14G, and is 100.0% over 1G personally; Tristana is also 100.0% versus Ryze in LCK Challengers over 2G. Enosh’s Ezreal posts 55.6% over 124G in league play and beats Lucian 57.1% over 7G. Lucy’s Lucian is only 48.8% over 86G, despite Lucy’s 58.3% WR over 12G.

Draft Edge

DN SOOPers Challengers have the cleaner draft edge because Skarner-Nautilus gives reliable engage for Rumble and Tristana, while Ezreal can poke before a neutral objective. Their win condition is to use Skarner pressure to unlock Tristana side-lane tempo, then force grouped fights before Ryze scaling takes over.

Nongshim’s route is narrower but real: Janus and MihawK must absorb the first engage, Pleata’s Milio must protect Lucy, and SeTab needs Realm Warp flanks. A Cho'Gath objective secure can overturn the draft if Nongshim reaches major fights without conceding too much gold.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket prices Game 2 at 50% for DN SOOPers Challengers and 50% for Nongshim Esports Academy. The Series Now market is also 50% to 50%. No Series Pre-Match odds were supplied, so no measured market movement can be calculated.

The Game and Series prices are identical, meaning the market is not more optimistic about either team specifically in this map. That caution fits the draft: DN have better statistical lane signals, but Nongshim just won Game 1 26-5 in 26:40 and field a durable teamfight composition that can punish DN’s low-KDA solo lanes.

Prediction

The model’s 60% to 40% DN SOOPers Challengers call remains justified by a 0.546 matchup signal against Nongshim’s 0.454, especially around Ezreal-Lucian and Tristana-Ryze. I would trim DN slightly to 57% because Nongshim’s 0.539 head-to-head signal, 0.574 season WR, and Game 1 momentum are meaningful best-of pressure factors.

FAQ

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*